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The Opening Bell Wednesday, October 28, 2026 · Published 9:33 AM EDT

Central Banks

Federal Reserve Expected to Hold Benchmark Rate Steady Ahead of Chair Warsh’s Conference

The Federal Open Market Committee is widely anticipated to keep the federal funds rate in the 3.75% to 4.00% target range Wednesday, with market pricing reflecting less than a 10% chance of an increase following September’s hike. With no updated economic projections or "dot plot" scheduled, investors are focused on Chairman Kevin Warsh's post-decision press briefing for guidance on whether a hike will occur in December. While officials maintain monetary policy is apolitical, the decision comes days ahead of U.S. midterm elections, with some analysts noting potential dissents from regional Fed presidents who favor tighter policy.

Central Banks
Photo via CNBC

Today's Top Stories

6 stories

Energy

Oil Prices Rise Above $101 After Houthi Missile Strike on Saudi Refinery

WTI crude rose nearly 2% after Houthi militants claimed a ballistic missile attack on Saudi Arabia’s Ras Tanura refinery located in the country's Eastern Province. The strike re-ignited geopolitical supply concerns across the Middle East, compounded by ongoing shipping tensions along the Strait of Hormuz. Energy markets reacted swiftly to potential disruption risks at one of the world's largest petroleum export facilities.

WSJ ↗

Deals

Nelson Peltz’s Trian Launches $1.4 Billion Take-Private Bid for Wendy's

An investor consortium led by Nelson Peltz’s Trian Fund Management offered $7.35 per share in cash to acquire burger chain Wendy's, representing a 20% premium over its prior closing price. The takeover group, which includes BlueFive Capital, Sixth Street Partners, and franchisee Flynn Group, already controls a 16.25% stake alongside affiliates. The proposal follows a steep 65% drop in Wendy's shares over two years driven by six consecutive quarters of same-store sales declines.

CNBC ↗

Deals

GE Vernova to Acquire High-Voltage Grid Equipment Maker for $9 Billion

GE Vernova reached an agreement to purchase an equipment manufacturer specializing in high-voltage electrical grids for $9 billion. The energy spin-off noted the transaction is intended to significantly scale its electrification portfolio amid escalating utility demand. The acquisition addresses bottleneck constraints in power transmission infrastructure as global electrification efforts accelerate.

WSJ ↗

Deals

Jio Platforms Surges Over 21% in Record $3.2 Billion Indian Market Debut

Reliance Industries' telecoms unit Jio Platforms rallied substantially during its initial trading session in Mumbai after completing India’s largest-ever IPO. The company raised $3.2 billion at a $108 billion valuation, backed by major stakeholders including Meta and Alphabet. The offering provided a strong tailwind to the Indian equity market, which had faced pressure from broader Middle East geopolitical risks.

CNBC ↗

Economy

China's Domestic Auto Demand Plummets as Full-Year Retail Sales Face 22% Drop

Passenger vehicle retail sales in China dropped 21.7% year-over-year through September to 13.33 million units, with full-year 2026 volumes projected to decline 22% below initial pandemic levels. The contraction has hit new-energy vehicles as well, with sales dropping 12.8% amid diminished consumer confidence, falling property values, and reduced state subsidies. The worsening domestic downturn has intensified price wars and heightened trade tensions as Chinese automakers aggressively ramp up vehicle exports overseas.

CNBC ↗

Banking

UBS Chief Warns Bank May Exit Switzerland Over Proposed Capital Rules

UBS leadership signaled the lender could consider relocating outside of Switzerland due to ongoing disputes with domestic lawmakers regarding stringent new capital requirements on foreign subsidiaries. The potential regulatory changes have drawn friction following the bank's absorption of Credit Suisse. The dispute comes even as UBS posted climbing net profits bolstered by strong wealth management inflows.

WSJ ↗

Markets at a Glance

vs. previous close
S&P 5007,737.40▲ +0.19%
Nasdaq26,477.81▲ +1.18%
Dow Jones52,399.53▲ +0.04%
Russell 20002,818.87▲ +1.16%
10-Year Treasury4.99%▲ +0 bp
WTI Crude$101.77▲ +1.87%
Gold$4,064.50▼ −0.25%
U.S. Dollar Index102.35▲ +0.03%
Bitcoin$80,466.62▼ −0.42%

Levels as of 9:33 AM EDT. Source: Yahoo Finance; may be delayed.

The Market Today

U.S. equity markets were broadly higher ahead of the Federal Reserve's rate decision, led by tech and small caps as the Nasdaq gained 1.18% and the Russell 2000 rose 1.16%, while the S&P 500 added 0.19% and the Dow was roughly flat (+0.04%). Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields held steady at 4.99%, while the U.S. Dollar Index remained unchanged at 102.35. Energy markets saw upward pressure, with WTI crude advancing 1.87% to $101.77 a barrel following geopolitical escalations in the Middle East, while gold edged lower to $4,064.50.

Your Watchlist

vs. previous close
AAPLApple$347.12+0.93%
MSFTMicrosoft$531.49−0.21%
NVDANvidia$219.99+1.85%
AMZNAmazon$252.75+1.47%
GOOGLAlphabet$323.55+2.13%
METAMeta$621.30−1.47%
TSLATesla$410.31+4.77%
JPMJPMorgan Chase$336.77+0.29%
XOMExxon Mobil$180.62−2.13%
  • Apple (AAPL): Shares are up 0.93% today as the company was added to Russia's state surveillance registry alongside Microsoft, while dealing with public backlash over "Crackgate" display durability issues on its iPhone Duo. Bloomberg
  • Microsoft (MSFT): The stock is down 0.21% today heading into its fiscal earnings release after the bell, where investors await updates on rising AI cash expenditures and recent efforts to trim headcount. WSJ
  • Nvidia (NVDA): Shares gained 1.85% today following reports that Oracle expanded its chip supply partnership to include Nvidia alongside Cerebras and Google, while an Nvidia-backed entity introduced a $3.1 billion GPU debt facility. Reuters
  • Amazon (AMZN): Up 1.47% today after federal regulators cleared the company's $11.5 billion acquisition of satellite communications operator Globalstar under its Amazon Leo unit. Reuters
  • Alphabet (GOOGL): Shares gained 2.13% today ahead of post-close quarterly earnings, supported by the strong market debut of portfolio holding Jio Platforms and partner-led distribution shifts for its AI processors. CNBC
  • Meta (META): The stock dropped 1.47% today as the firm faces a major U.S. court test over adolescent addiction claims, alongside secondary-market weakness in its $27 billion data center debt issue. Reuters
  • Tesla (TSLA): Shares surged 4.77% today following reports that boards at Tesla and SpaceX are exploring potential merger discussions involving the two Elon Musk-led companies. Bloomberg
  • JPMorgan Chase (JPM): Up 0.29% today after the bank was selected by AI developer Anthropic to lead the U.S. retail allocation of its upcoming initial public offering. Bloomberg
  • Exxon Mobil (XOM): Shares fell 2.13% today as the initial cargo of Venezuelan crude under the US-NABEP trade framework arrived at Texas refineries for processing by Exxon and Citgo. Reuters

Today's Calendar

Wednesday, October 28 · times ET

Economic data & events

2:00 PM
Federal Funds RateForecast 4.00% · Previous 4.00%
2:00 PM
FOMC Statement
2:30 PM
FOMC Press Conference

Earnings

MSFT
MicrosoftWatchlistAfter close · Consensus EPS $4.71
GOOG
AlphabetAfter close · Consensus EPS $2.94
GEV
GE VernovaBefore open · Consensus EPS $4.03
KLAC
KLAAfter close · Consensus EPS $1.18
SAN
Banco Santander, S.ABefore open · Consensus EPS $0.26
APH
AmphenolBefore open · Consensus EPS $0.73
NOW
ServiceNowAfter close · Consensus EPS $0.56
TMUS
T-Mobile USAfter close · Consensus EPS $2.86

High-impact release. Earnings shown for large companies ($10B+) and your watchlist. Sources: Forex Factory, Nasdaq. Schedules can change.

Sectors & Movers

  • Restaurants & Casual Dining: Wendy's surged 15% premarket after receiving a $1.4 billion buyout bid from Nelson Peltz's Trian consortium. Chili's parent Brinker International posted improved fiscal first-quarter net earnings of $113.3 million ($2.64 per share) and raised full-year guidance, driven by momentum at its core casual dining chain.
  • AI Infrastructure & Hardware: Vertiv delivered an upbeat earnings report and sales beat that signaled continued acceleration in enterprise data center buildouts, providing positive sentiment for power and cooling suppliers.
  • Pharmaceuticals: GlaxoSmithKline shares fell in European trading following weaker-than-anticipated sales for its flagship Shingrix shingles vaccine, hampered by declining volume in China.
  • Commodities: U.S. natural gas futures advanced for a second straight session ahead of the expiration of the front-month November contract, while WTI crude topped $101 following the Saudi infrastructure strike.
Live charts: energy, metals & equities →

Macro & Policy

  • U.S. Monetary Policy: Former Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker publicly argued that current monetary conditions are "not restrictive" enough, cautioning that while a rate pause is expected today, further policy tightening is necessary to return inflation to target.
  • U.K. Fiscal Policy: The British pound softened 0.1% against the dollar as the Treasury chief commenced delivering the U.K. budget, reiterating adherence to national debt rules without producing sharp currency swings.
  • U.S. Election Infrastructure: The Federal Election Commission's online disclosure database remained knocked offline following an attempted cyberattack, obscuring hundreds of millions of dollars in last-minute campaign spending days ahead of the 2026 midterm vote.

What to Watch

  • Federal Reserve Policy Announcement (2:00 PM ET): The FOMC will publish its interest rate decision and policy statement, with market participants expecting rates to stay pegged at 4.00%.
  • Fed Press Conference (2:30 PM ET): Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh will host his live post-meeting press conference, with traders scrutinizing comments regarding rate expectations for the December gathering.
  • Mega-Cap Tech Earnings (After Close): Microsoft (consensus EPS $4.71) and Alphabet (consensus EPS $2.94) report quarterly results, with focus centered on AI capital expenditures and cloud revenue growth.
  • Additional Key Corporate Earnings: Reports are due after the closing bell from ServiceNow (consensus EPS $0.56), T-Mobile US (consensus EPS $2.86), and semiconductor equipment maker KLA Corp (consensus EPS $1.18).

Sources

55 articles

This brief was written by AI (Google Gemini) from the articles listed above and may contain errors. It is for information only and is not investment advice. Check the original reporting before making decisions.