Wednesday, November 4, 2026Briefs at the open & close · ET
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The market, briefly — at every open and close


The Closing Bell Monday, November 2, 2026 · Published 4:09 PM EST

Energy

Crude oil tumbles over 8% as U.S.-Iran diplomatic talks advance

Oil prices suffered their largest one-day percentage decline since July, falling below $96 a barrel after Iranian leadership granted officials authority to engage in direct diplomatic discussions with the U.S. The swift reduction in geopolitical risk premium sent ripples across global financial markets, weighing heavily on energy producers while giving a lift to sovereign debt and airline sentiment.


Today's Top Stories

6 stories

Deals

Marvell and Lumentum executives defend $115B AI optical merger as shares slide

Leadership from Marvell and Lumentum defended their all-stock mega-merger as a critical move to unite semiconductors and optics for next-generation AI connectivity, despite Marvell falling 13% and Lumentum plunging 19%. Executives rejected market concerns surrounding circular AI infrastructure spending and noted strong multi-year backlogs for optical solutions.

CNBC ↗

Markets

Oracle files for $20 billion stock and bond offering to finance AI buildout

Oracle shares declined 6% after the company submitted regulatory filings to raise $10 billion through newly issued common stock and $10 billion in senior debt securities. The capital will fund large-scale data center infrastructure, but the sheer scale of the financing raised investor concerns about balance-sheet leverage and dilution.

CNBC ↗

Central Banks

Alphabet tests tech debt demand with €6 billion bond sale

Alphabet launched a multi-tranche European debt sale of approximately €6 billion, paying a premium to issue in foreign currency amid widening corporate spreads. The offering serves as a major test of global investor appetite for big tech debt as hyperscalers ramp up capital expenditures.

Reuters ↗

Tech

Apple faces high-stakes earnings test under new CEO John Ternus

Apple reports fiscal fourth-quarter results after the bell, where consensus estimates project $113.39 billion in revenue and EPS of $1.99. Investors are eyeing initial demand for the new iPhone 18 Pro line, recent price increases, memory chip supply constraints, and Chinese AI software clearance during Ternus's first earnings conference call.

CNBC ↗

Policy

Betting markets shift heavily toward Democratic Senate majority on election eve

Prediction market traders on Kalshi increased the odds of Democrats retaining or taking control of the U.S. Senate to 74%, the highest level recorded on the platform. The move followed weekend battleground polling, driving shifts in contested races across Texas, Iowa, and Kansas hours ahead of Tuesday's midterm voting.

CNBC ↗

Policy

Ryanair warns of up to 20% airfare hikes as fuel hedges expire

Ryanair reported a 15% drop in first-half profit to €2.15 billion and warned that European airfares will need to rise sharply next year to cover a projected €2 billion increase in fuel bills. CEO Michael O'Leary cautioned that existing hedges are expiring while unhedged jet fuel trades near $170 a barrel, prompting the carrier to freeze seat capacity this winter.

CNBC ↗

Markets at a Glance

vs. previous close
S&P 5007,541.40▼ −0.51%
Nasdaq25,164.32▼ −1.07%
Dow Jones51,983.98▲ +0.41%
Russell 20002,814.79▲ +0.10%
10-Year Treasury4.89%▼ −4 bp
WTI Crude$95.72▼ −8.07%
Gold$3,957.70▲ +1.51%
U.S. Dollar Index101.74▼ −0.13%
Bitcoin$76,713.01▼ −1.96%

Levels as of 4:09 PM EST. Source: Yahoo Finance; may be delayed.

The Market Today

U.S. equities diverged on Monday as an ongoing retreat in major technology and semiconductor shares weighed down the Nasdaq and S&P 500, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000 held modest gains. Crude oil experienced a dramatic collapse, with WTI dropping over 8% below $96 per barrel amid signs of diplomatic progress between the U.S. and Iran, triggering an easing of Treasury yields and a rally in gold. Trading activity remained guarded as investors positioned ahead of Tuesday's pivotal U.S. congressional elections and critical corporate earnings reports due after the close.

Since the Open

vs. this morning's brief
  • Tech losses intensified: Major indexes slipped from their morning peaks, with the S&P 500 retreating 0.99% since the open to turn negative at 7,541.40 (−0.51% on the day) and the Nasdaq dropping an additional 1.07% to 25,164.32 as early dip-buying in software and chips faltered.
  • Dow and small caps preserved gains: The Dow Jones pared its morning rally, falling 0.37% from opening levels to 51,983.98, but maintained a 0.41% gain on the session alongside a 0.10% increase in the Russell 2000.
  • Crude oil sell-off accelerated: WTI crude extended its slide by an extra 1.78% since the opening bell to reach $95.72 per barrel, down 8.07% on the day following afternoon headlines detailing expanding authority for Iranian diplomats.
  • Bond yields edged lower: U.S. 10-year Treasury yields fell another basis point from morning marks to 4.89% (down 4 basis points on the day), buoyed by diminished inflation concerns tied to declining energy costs.

Your Watchlist

vs. previous close
AAPLApple$338.32−1.83%
MSFTMicrosoft$507.12−2.83%
NVDANvidia$202.06−1.26%
AMZNAmazon$245.63+2.20%
GOOGLAlphabet$278.99−0.30%
METAMeta$606.73−1.34%
TSLATesla$403.82+1.00%
JPMJPMorgan Chase$340.75+1.10%
XOMExxon Mobil$179.74−4.01%
  • Apple (AAPL): Shares fell 1.83% today to $338.32 ahead of its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report, where markets await commentary on supply chains and early iPhone 18 Pro sales. CNBC
  • Microsoft (MSFT): Dropped 2.83% today to $507.12, reflecting continued scrutiny over tech sector capital expenditures and free cash flow generation. Financial Times
  • Nvidia (NVDA): Slumped 1.26% today to $202.06 as broader semiconductor sentiment softened and analysts evaluated whether the AI chip selloff had reached oversold conditions. CNBC
  • Amazon (AMZN): Rose 2.20% today to $245.63, outperforming large-cap tech peers despite discussions around competitive pressures from autonomous AI shopping agents. WSJ
  • Alphabet (GOOGL): Slipped 0.30% today to $278.99 as it launched a multi-tranche €6 billion debt sale to fund its expanding AI data infrastructure. Reuters
  • Meta (META): Fell 1.34% today to $606.73 as it readied a cross-border bond offering and delayed new commercial terms following pushback over web-scraping rules. Bloomberg
  • Tesla (TSLA): Advanced 1.00% today to $403.82, supported by strong October sales momentum in Europe, including a 94% year-over-year surge in Italian registrations. Reuters
  • JPMorgan Chase (JPM): Gained 1.10% today to $340.75 after opening a new wealth management outpost in Dubai to target growing Middle Eastern private capital. Bloomberg
  • Exxon Mobil (XOM): Dropped 4.01% today to $179.74, pulled lower alongside integrated energy producers by the steep plunge in benchmark crude. CNBC

Tomorrow's Calendar

Tuesday, November 3 · times ET

Economic data & events

10:00 AM
JOLTS Job OpeningsForecast 7.11M · Previous 7.08M
10:16 AM
Congressional Elections

Earnings

After today's close

AAPL
AppleWatchlistConsensus EPS $1.98
PLTR
Palantir TechnologiesConsensus EPS $0.32
VRTX
Vertex PharmaceuticalsConsensus EPS $4.36
WMB
Williams CompaniesConsensus EPS $0.55
FANG
Diamondback EnergyConsensus EPS $4.92
O
Realty IncomeConsensus EPS $1.11

Tuesday, November 3

AMD
Advanced Micro DevicesAfter close · Consensus EPS $1.68
AMGN
AmgenAfter close · Consensus EPS $5.74
ANET
Arista NetworksAfter close · Consensus EPS $0.99
SHOP
ShopifyBefore open · Consensus EPS $0.33
PFE
PfizerBefore open · Consensus EPS $0.72
ETN
EatonBefore open · Consensus EPS $3.54
MPC
Marathon PetroleumBefore open · Consensus EPS $25.74
BKNG
Booking HoldingsAfter close · Consensus EPS $4.48

High-impact release. Earnings shown for large companies ($10B+) and your watchlist. Sources: Forex Factory, Nasdaq. Schedules can change.

Sectors & Movers

  • Semiconductors & Optical: Hardware and memory suppliers tumbled across the board. In addition to double-digit losses in Marvell (−13%) and Lumentum (−19%), memory providers Micron, SanDisk, and Western Digital fell between 3% and 5%.
  • Energy: Oil producers and refiners saw broad selling pressure, with Chevron and Valero joining Exxon Mobil in falling between 3% and 5% following WTI's 8.07% drop.
  • Healthcare & Diagnostics: IDEXX Laboratories surged 20% after reporting third-quarter revenue of $1.21 billion and lifting its full-year outlook. Tempus AI jumped nearly 12% after exceeding quarterly earnings estimates and raising guidance, while Krystal Biotech dropped 15% after delaying pipeline readouts into 2027.
  • Automotive & Electric Vehicles: Rivian jumped 10% following an upgrade to Buy at UBS ahead of its upcoming R2 SUV platform.
Live charts: energy, metals & equities →

Macro & Policy

  • Geopolitics and Energy: Crude oil prices retreated sharply after Iranian officials signaled diplomatic leeway to begin direct discussions with the United States, easing Middle Eastern supply disruption concerns that had pushed retail gasoline near record levels.
  • Fixed Income: Government bond yields dropped across the U.S. and Europe, with the 10-year Treasury yield slipping 4 basis points to 4.89% as collapsing oil prices tempered headline inflation fears.
  • Trade Sanctions: The U.S. moved to suspend South Africa and Rwanda from duty-free trade access under reciprocal market agreements.

What to Watch

  • Post-Market Earnings (Today): Apple (AAPL) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR) headline after-hours results, alongside Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX), Williams Companies (WMB), Diamondback Energy (FANG), and Realty Income (O).
  • Tuesday Pre-Market Earnings: Shopify (SHOP, consensus EPS $0.33), Pfizer (PFE, consensus EPS $0.72), Eaton (ETN, consensus EPS $3.54), and Marathon Petroleum (MPC, consensus EPS $25.74).
  • U.S. JOLTS Job Openings (Tuesday, 10:00 AM ET): Labor demand metrics for the prior month are forecast at 7.11 million, slightly above the previous print of 7.08 million.
  • U.S. Congressional Elections (Tuesday, 10:16 AM ET): Voting commences nationwide for congressional control, with high stakes for federal fiscal spending, energy policy, and regulatory enforcement.
  • Tuesday Post-Market Earnings: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD, consensus EPS $1.68), Amgen (AMGN, consensus EPS $5.74), Arista Networks (ANET, consensus EPS $0.99), and Booking Holdings (BKNG, consensus EPS $4.48).

Sources

52 articles

This brief was written by AI (Google Gemini) from the articles listed above and may contain errors. It is for information only and is not investment advice. Check the original reporting before making decisions.