Wednesday, November 4, 2026Briefs at the open & close · ET
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The Closing Bell Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · Published 4:09 PM EST

Policy

Voters Head to Polls for High-Stakes Midterm Elections

As voters cast ballots in the 20th midterm elections to decide control of the House and Senate, prediction markets indicate Democrats hold a strong edge in taking the Senate. A shift in congressional control could disrupt the administration's legislative agenda, heighten political oversight, and trigger potential market volatility if results are contested.

Policy
Photo via CNBC

Today's Top Stories

5 stories

Policy

Texas Gubernatorial and Senate Races Threaten AI Data Center Trade

State-level elections in Texas have emerged as a critical pressure point for the artificial intelligence sector, with data center energy consumption and water supplies driving voter anxiety. With 27% of U.S. data center gigawatts located in Texas and an active gubernatorial moratorium on permits, a sweep by Democrats who support restrictions could intensify a sell-off in AI stocks.

CNBC ↗

Earnings

Shopify Falls Over 8% After Q3 Gross Merchandise Volume Misses Estimates

Shares of Shopify tumbled 8.74% on Tuesday after reporting third-quarter subscription gross profit and gross merchandise volume that missed analyst expectations. Despite beating adjusted earnings estimates and posting its 13th consecutive quarter of GMV growth above 20%, the company's subscription revenue also lagged behind forecasts.

CNBC ↗

Tech

Meta Kicks Off Major Debt Offering to Fund Escalating AI Investments

Meta Platforms initiated a massive debt sale, seeking to raise up to $25 billion to finance heavy capital expenditures and aggressive artificial intelligence investments. The move highlights the soaring debt financing costs currently pressuring the broader technology sector amid the ongoing infrastructure buildout.

Bloomberg ↗

Earnings

Ferrari Raises Full-Year Guidance Following Strong Third-Quarter Earnings

Ferrari lifted its 2026 revenue, EBITDA, and free cash flow guidance after posting third-quarter adjusted earnings per share of 2.44 euros, topping Wall Street expectations. Management cited stronger-than-expected customer personalizations, lower currency headwinds, and a second-place finish in the Formula 1 championship.

CNBC ↗

Policy

Department of Justice Sends Observers Nationwide as Election Disputes Loom

The Department of Justice deployed roughly 1,000 election monitors across all 50 states for the midterms, the largest effort in its history. The move follows localized legal battles, including a dismissed federal lawsuit in Alaska, raising investor awareness around potential post-election challenges.

CNBC ↗

Markets at a Glance

vs. previous close
S&P 5007,568.92▲ +0.36%
Nasdaq25,372.01▲ +0.83%
Dow Jones51,786.72▼ −0.38%
Russell 20002,814.97▲ +0.32%
10-Year Treasury4.95%▲ +6 bp
WTI Crude$96.56▲ +0.10%
Gold$3,932.10▼ −0.94%
U.S. Dollar Index101.87▲ +0.12%
Bitcoin$77,792.16▲ +1.45%

Levels as of 4:09 PM EST. Source: Yahoo Finance; may be delayed.

The Market Today

Markets drifted higher on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq snapping a three-session losing streak as investors rotated back into technology and semiconductor shares. Trading remained cautious, however, as voters headed to the polls for the U.S. midterm elections, while Treasury yields climbed and oil prices ticked up.

Since the Open

vs. this morning's brief
  • S&P 500: Advanced from 7,547.21 to 7,568.92 (+0.29% since the morning).
  • Nasdaq: Extended gains from 25,164.36 to 25,372.01 (+0.83% since the morning) as AI heavyweights rebounded.
  • Dow Jones: Slipped slightly from 51,795.79 to 51,786.72 (-0.02% since the morning), weighed down by Apple.
  • 10-Year Treasury Yield: Continued its climb, moving from 4.92% to 4.95% (+3 bp).
  • WTI Crude: Rebounded from $95.54 to $96.56 (+1.07%).

Your Watchlist

vs. previous close
AAPLApple$331.90−1.90%
MSFTMicrosoft$520.99+2.74%
NVDANvidia$206.69+2.29%
AMZNAmazon$250.69+2.06%
GOOGLAlphabet$280.03+0.37%
METAMeta$621.03+2.36%
TSLATesla$398.50−1.32%
JPMJPMorgan Chase$337.99−0.76%
XOMExxon Mobil$177.46−1.23%
  • Apple (AAPL): Shares fell 1.90% today to $331.90, underperforming the broader tech bounce, as investors digested a disappointing margin forecast and weaker-than-expected iPad sales from late Monday. WSJ
  • Microsoft (MSFT): Shares gained 2.74% today to $520.99 as part of the broader relief rally in mega-cap technology stocks ahead of election results. CNBC
  • Nvidia (NVDA): Shares added 2.29% today to $206.69, participating in a broader recovery across semiconductor makers as the AI trade showed signs of attempting to bounce from oversold levels. CNBC
  • Amazon (AMZN): Shares climbed 2.06% today to $250.69 alongside the general rebound in large-cap growth equities. MarketWatch
  • Alphabet (GOOGL): Shares edged up 0.37% today to $280.03, stabilizing near flat after earlier minor fluctuations. CNBC
  • Meta (META): Shares jumped 2.36% today to $621.03 even as the social media giant initiated a major debt offering to fund its aggressive AI infrastructure investments. Bloomberg
  • Tesla (TSLA): Shares dropped 1.32% today to $398.50, lagging the tech sector's broader recovery. Reuters
  • JPMorgan Chase (JPM): Shares slipped 0.76% today to $337.99, pressured alongside financial sector defensive positioning as bond yields climbed. Bloomberg
  • Exxon Mobil (XOM): Shares fell 1.23% today to $177.46, pressured by ongoing weakness and volatility in crude oil benchmarks. MarketWatch

Tomorrow's Calendar

Wednesday, November 4 · times ET

Economic data & events

10:00 AM
ISM Services PMIForecast 54.8 · Previous 54.9

Earnings

After today's close

AMD
Advanced Micro DevicesConsensus EPS $1.68
AMGN
AmgenConsensus EPS $5.74
ANET
Arista NetworksConsensus EPS $0.99
BKNG
Booking HoldingsConsensus EPS $4.48

Wednesday, November 4

TM
Toyota Motor OrdTime TBA
ARM
Arm HoldingsAfter close · Consensus EPS $0.22
MCD
McDonald'sBefore open · Consensus EPS $3.36
NVO
Novo Nordisk A/SBefore open · Consensus EPS $0.81
QCOM
QUALCOMMAfter close · Consensus EPS $1.46
UBER
Uber TechnologiesBefore open · Consensus EPS $0.94
MCK
McKessonAfter close · Consensus EPS $10.69
CVS
CVS HealthBefore open · Consensus EPS $1.62

High-impact release. Earnings shown for large companies ($10B+) and your watchlist. Sources: Forex Factory, Nasdaq. Schedules can change.

Sectors & Movers

  • Semiconductors & AI Hardware: Rebounded strongly on Tuesday, led by Advanced Micro Devices (+4%), Broadcom (+3%), and Micron Technology and Nvidia (both >+2%), helping pull the Nasdaq out of a three-day skid.
  • Energy & Oil: WTI crude settled slightly lower at $96.09 (-0.38%) on speculation regarding potential diplomatic progress in U.S.-Iran negotiations, though prices ticked higher in late afternoon trade to $96.56. Meanwhile, Canadian heavy crude widened to its deepest discount relative to U.S. futures since 2018.
Live charts: energy, metals & equities →

Macro & Policy

  • Treasury Yields: The 10-Year Treasury yield rose 6 basis points to 4.95% as bond markets reacted to the political uncertainty surrounding the midterm elections and ongoing supply dynamics. JPMorgan's Bob Michele publicly urged the U.S. Treasury to eliminate the "orphan" 20-year bond issuance.
  • Geopolitics: President Trump announced during voting that the U.S. will stop $4 billion in aid to Israel, adding an unexpected foreign policy development to election-day headlines.

What to Watch

  • U.S. Midterm Election Results: Continued race calls and vote counts throughout the night will determine control of the House and Senate.
  • ISM Services PMI: Scheduled for release at 10:00 AM ET on Wednesday (forecast 54.8, previous 54.9).
  • Upcoming Corporate Earnings: Reports are due after Wednesday's close from Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Arm Holdings (ARM), QUALCOMM (QCOM), Amgen (AMGN), Arista Networks (ANET), and Booking Holdings (BKNG), with McDonald's (MCD), Novo Nordisk (NVO), and Uber Technologies (UBER) reporting before the open.

Sources

52 articles

This brief was written by AI (Google Gemini) from the articles listed above and may contain errors. It is for information only and is not investment advice. Check the original reporting before making decisions.